Odds of an economic and systemic crash [Nov. 11, 2019]
Results are from a 51 interdependant parameters model.
The full simulation is a set of 102 runs.
Each run initializes the parameters with their respective [min (*); current ; max (*) ; trend] ranges: one specific parameter is forced to gradually increase or decrease full range during the entire run while all others are let free to adjust over time steps: 7-days steps, up to 250 steps (**).
Odds at time points are aggregated over all runs.(*) observed in the last 6 months
(**) most optimistic run ends after 95 weeks
most pessimistic run lasts 54 weeks
crash average estimate is 79 weeks
The current plan is progressing more slowly than expected on its goal to provoke social riots all over the world, to bring states to adopt a regime close to the police dictatorship.It was expected that the social conflicts would also rise in London before the end of the year, following the rejection of Brexit by parliamentary representation. It is now unlikely that this will happen. The demonstration in Hong Kong have also exceeded forecasts, leaving China less freedom to manauver.
Both clans now mainly agree on the same deadline, set for April 16, 2021.
A new phase, leading to the first failure of a major bank, should begin on December 26, 2019.
Power outages are expected in 2020 in some key countries to control or trigger social unrest.The rise of civil demonstrations in the British capital appears as one of the necessary key factors to trigger a global economic collapse. This could be due to the final rejection of Brexit or discreditation of royal family mmembers as a result of revelations broadcast by the media.
